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UK Telecom Markets' Broadband Subscriber Database

UK broadband lines pass 5 million, to surpass 8 million in 2005 (September 27, 2004)

The number of subscribers to UK broadband networks broke through the 5 million mark in September according to the Telecom Markets' Broadband Subscriber Database (BSD). "With some 50,000 new subscribers joining every week, the 5 million barrier was breached in mid-September", says Gareth Willmer, analyst for the database. Out of some 3 million DSL subscribers about 40% subscribe to BT directly, the majority subscribing to a service offered by ISPs that buy their DSL service wholesale from BT. Unbundling, which reduces operators' dependence on the dominant carrier, has yet to make an impact in the UK, says Willmer: there were only 13,000 subscribers to unbundled DSL by the end of June compared to 730,000 in France.

Forecasts based on the BSD suggest that there will be well over 8 million broadband customers in the UK by the end of 2005, about a tenth of whom will subscribe to unbundled DSL. Overall, a third of households will subscribe to broadband by that date (see chart below).


Willmer adds that in the next year or so subscriptions will rise rapidly owing to falling prices, VoIP launches and increasing competition from alternative broadband carriers. Falling prices of unbundling could be a key driver of an increase in UK broadband subscriber numbers, as has been seen in France, he says.

UK Broadband Subscriber Forecasts

End-2Q04

End-4Q04(e)

End-4Q05(e)

Total broadband subs (mil.)

4.36

5.50

8.20

Total broadband subs as a % of households

17.00

21.47

32.01

DSL subs (mil.)

2.72

3.60

5.60

Cable broadband subs (mil.)

1.63

1.90

2.60

LLU subs (mil.)

0.01

0.08

0.86


Forecasts of future growth are based on previous growth trends, plus factors including falling broadband prices, the predicted increase in the number of broadband providers and rising competition from wholesale and unbundled DSL. Prospects are improved by BT's ongoing reduction in charges for unbundling as well as Ofcom's proposed price reductions by the end of the year. Source: Broadband Subscriber Database


About Broadband Subscriber Database
The Baskerville Broadband Subscriber Database is a comprehensive source of key information on the broadband industry, providing users with access to data on more than 160 operators in 49 countries worldwide.


Broadband Subscriber Database includes:
1. Regularly updated subscriber figures (totals, net additions, growth rates) by operator and country

2. Fortnightly figures per operator on a country-by-country basis, including:
a. Total fixed-line and broadband subscribers
b. Growth rates
c. Net additions
d. Quarterly and yearly % increases
e. Figures for cable TV subscribers and PSTN lines
f. Details of operator launch dates, pricing and product tiers
g. Broadband penetration per household figures

3. Over 75 summary reports, updated quarterly , detailing broadband statistics worldwide, including:
a. Broadband totals by country
b. Total net additions per country
c. Total DSL and cable subscriber figures
d. Operator rankings
e. Country rankings
f. Growth rates
g. Relative market dominance of DSL and cable broadband
h. Population count and penetration figures for cable, DSL and broadband as a whole, including household and Internet subscribers, by country
i. News updates

More: www.baskerville.telecoms.com/broadbanddata


About Telecom Markets
Telecom Markets fortnightly newsletter is the leading source of news and analysis on fixed-line and broadband network strategy and regulation. Published since 1986, the newsletter delivers a detailed analysis of industry activity.

More: www.baskerville.telecoms.com/telecommarkets

 


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Related Keywords:broadband, Telecom Markets Broadband Subscriber Database, BSD, Gareth Willmer, VoIP, Ofcom, Baskerville Broadband Subscriber Database,

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